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This market is not open to US bettors. US Midterm Election Issues The US Midterm Election is rife with hot-button issues that pundits believe hold the capability of swinging the outcome in either direction. Certainly, the economy is at the top of that list. The USA is currently enduring record highs in consumer pricing Any Midterm Election is always a referendum on how satisfied the general public is with the job the current President is performing.

The Republicans are seeking to frame the economy, the performance of the Joe Biden Administration and immigration as the issues American people should most be concerned about. This is not a normal midterm election. Revelations that Trump pilfered top-secret documents from the White House when he lost the Presidency in are raising questions of national security concerns.

The main issue that Democrats are pushing is abortion. This is fueling Democrats voters to get out in numbers. The current VP has seen her odds continue to lengthen since the start of the year, which isn't a surprise as the former Senator also has seen her favorability drop in the polls during that time period as well.

The Californian governor has led the state for the past two years and is a popular figure. He should beat Brian Dahle in the California gubernatorial election to shore up his support, and may then look toward the presidency. The former First Lady never ruled out running for president herself, and certainly would gain plenty of Democratic supporters.

But can Obama capture the center ground as her husband did before her? But pitching Obama against Trump could be a risky strategy for the Dems. The campaign could become very messy — and the fall-out even more severe. She was once to be president, when campaigning against outsider Trump in How times change. The year-old has never said she would not run for president again, but it does seem as though her chance has gone. The New Yorker is a high-profile Democrat and considered a big threat to the Republican party.

She is popular, concise and electable. She will probably support either Biden or Harris in the primaries. That fueled talk of a socialist revolution in the West, which was kiboshed when Trump won in Years later, Sanders is in a worse place to win an election than he ever has been.

When Trump first flirted with the idea of being president in , plenty of people laughed it off as a publicity stunt. The Rock certainly would prove a popular candidate, but is he really on the verge of running for president? A well-known political commenter and conservative influencer, Carlson has been discussed as a potential candidate to make the switch from entertainment to politics but there has been nothing official out of his camp to suggest he would run in Carlson is popular among Republican voters, though, so should he consider a run at any political office, expect him to garner plenty of attention.

He ran unsuccessfully in as an independent, collecting 60, votes from a possible million. The presenter and podcaster was also tipped to run in due to the success of the Joe Rogan Show. But his position within the GOP is more as commentator and cheerleader, rather than all-in politician.

But it appears will be unlikely. He's ineligible. Presidential Betting Odds Explained Understanding presidential betting odds is hugely important before placing a wager. Remember, you always can use a bet calculator — or check your risk and reward in your bet slip — before completing a wager.

Why political odds are different to most sports odds is because there are more than two candidates in the market. This means that the odds can fluctuate wildly. Think of it like betting on a horse race months before the event begins.

You're not sure who will be racing, let alone winning, and so the odds on Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and everyone else are much higher before the primaries. Once it's a one-on-one race, you can be sure the presidential election odds for the final two candidates will shrink. And the shorter your odds, the smaller your potential profits. On one side we have Donald Trump, the former president who holds great power over the Republican party, the right-wing media and his supporters.

Where Trump is a polarizer, DeSantis could draw the GOP closer to the center ground and collect votes in the rust belt. He cannot be discounted here. Meanwhile, the Democrats have a decision to make. Do they stick with the unpopular Biden and go all-in on a second term? Or do they cut their losses, nominate a new figure to lead the party, and take on the GOP in a fresh campaign?

There is a lot of soul searching going on in Democratic camps. Harris, Buttigieg, Newsom, Obama, Clinton. Sites that accept political bets currently think Trump has it in the bag. He has the support of his growing base, plenty of financial muscle to mount a successful presidential campaign, and is feeding off the polarization in American society.

Donald Trump to-3 odds is a slight favorite over Ron DeSantis 7-to-2 odds to win the Presidential Election, while Joe Biden is at 5-to-1 odds to win re-election in Who is predicted to win the Presidential election? Donald Trump is a slight favorite ahead of Ron DeSantis to win the election with a Current President Joe Biden is solidly in third place. Has Donald Trump selected a running mate?

Georgia Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene has appeared at a number of Trump rallies in the fall of , sparking speculation that she is on the short list for the former president if he runs again, as has been widely assumed. Who will run for President in ? Who will run for President in for the Democrats? Joe Biden may run for president in for the Democrats. Hillary Clinton and Michelle Obama have also been suggested.

Who will run for President in for the Republicans? Trump has been the favorite most of the time siunce odds came out, but they are tied now. When is the election? The election will take place on Tuesday, Nov. When do we vote for President in ? The US presidential election takes place on Tuesday, Nov.

Americans can either vote on the day, vote in advance or request mail-in ballots.

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I trust those numbers more than other predictors because in the past, the bettors were right more often than anyone else. Bettors don't get everything right. In , they, like most everyone else, thought Hillary Clinton would become president. A week before Election Day, she was a 75 percent favorite.

But on Election Day, I saw how betting markets find the truth more quickly than others. Before the votes were counted, bettors were switching to then-candidate Donald Trump. On election night, it was fun to watch the silly people on TV. Even after bettors were switching, pundits still said that Hillary would win.

Only hours after the betting shifted did TV anchors finally adjust their predictions. In , bettors correctly predicted President Joe Biden's win and called nearly every state correctly. Over time, betting has been a better predictor than polls, pundits, statistical models, and everything else. There's something about "putting your money where your mouth is" that focuses the mind.

It turns out that when bettors think a candidate has a 63 percent chance, those candidates do win roughly 63 percent of the time. One reason bettors predict more accurately is because bettors consider things polls and prediction models often miss. In , Clinton-favoring polls overlooked people without college degrees.

Polltakers were also misled by Trump supporters who refused to talk to them. That's because uptight, narrow-minded American politicians banned gambling on elections. Fortunately, they made an exception for PredictIt. Our foolish bureaucrats promise to shut PredictIt down, but for now, we can take advantage of the "wisdom of the crowd" that PredictIt provides.

Which party will win the Pennsylvania Senate race? Republican Mehmet Oz is favored, 54 cents to 49 cents. He's also dealing with criticism from his Democrat base, who feel like the party is losing key ground on issues like gun reform and abortion. With criticism from all sides, Biden might not even be the party nominee if the Democrats take a beating during the midterms.

Kamala Harris' odds of winning the US presidential election Harris has seen her odds tumble, but she remains the Democrat favorite if Biden decides not to run again. The Smarkets exchange gives her a Harris is having a rocky tenure as VP and is struggling to break ground with her two biggest projects, border migration, and national voting reform. Harris was previously on the U. Senate and has also served as the Attorney General of California.

At age 57, Harris entered her political prime and ran for the Democratic nomination in before dropping out to endorse Biden. While a sitting president has never been defeated by a primary challenger, every president who faced a strong primary challenge went on to lose in the general election.

At 79, Biden is already the oldest president in history. If he steps down due to his age and declining popularity, younger challengers and better communicators like Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg will emerge. Newsom served as the mayor of San Francisco from to and has been the governor of California since If the Democratic party decides to move on from candidates that were born before Willie Mays was a rookie Biden, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were all born in the s , Newsom or Buttigieg could be excellent value plays.

AOC currently serves as a U. House of Representatives member, representing New York's 14th district. The politically savvy year-old has built a massive online following and will be turning the requisite age of presidential eligibility just before the election. Her biggest obstacle may in fact be her own party, with her more progressive views likely to alienate some of her colleagues unless they soften over time.

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But on Election Day, I saw how betting markets find the truth more quickly than others. Before the votes were counted, bettors were switching to then-candidate Donald Trump. On election night, it was fun to watch the silly people on TV. Even after bettors were switching, pundits still said that Hillary would win.

Only hours after the betting shifted did TV anchors finally adjust their predictions. In , bettors correctly predicted President Joe Biden's win and called nearly every state correctly. Over time, betting has been a better predictor than polls, pundits, statistical models, and everything else. There's something about "putting your money where your mouth is" that focuses the mind. It turns out that when bettors think a candidate has a 63 percent chance, those candidates do win roughly 63 percent of the time.

One reason bettors predict more accurately is because bettors consider things polls and prediction models often miss. In , Clinton-favoring polls overlooked people without college degrees. Polltakers were also misled by Trump supporters who refused to talk to them.

That's because uptight, narrow-minded American politicians banned gambling on elections. Fortunately, they made an exception for PredictIt. Our foolish bureaucrats promise to shut PredictIt down, but for now, we can take advantage of the "wisdom of the crowd" that PredictIt provides. Which party will win the Pennsylvania Senate race? Republican Mehmet Oz is favored, 54 cents to 49 cents. Who will be Arizona's next governor? Kari Lake leads 82 cents to 22 cents. The first Cabinet member to quit?

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, at 32 cents out of a dollar. Harris was previously on the U. Senate and has also served as the Attorney General of California. At age 57, Harris entered her political prime and ran for the Democratic nomination in before dropping out to endorse Biden.

While a sitting president has never been defeated by a primary challenger, every president who faced a strong primary challenge went on to lose in the general election. At 79, Biden is already the oldest president in history. If he steps down due to his age and declining popularity, younger challengers and better communicators like Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg will emerge. Newsom served as the mayor of San Francisco from to and has been the governor of California since If the Democratic party decides to move on from candidates that were born before Willie Mays was a rookie Biden, Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were all born in the s , Newsom or Buttigieg could be excellent value plays.

AOC currently serves as a U. House of Representatives member, representing New York's 14th district. The politically savvy year-old has built a massive online following and will be turning the requisite age of presidential eligibility just before the election. Her biggest obstacle may in fact be her own party, with her more progressive views likely to alienate some of her colleagues unless they soften over time.

She recently hit the news for criticizing the Biden administration for not doing more to help student debt. The Rock's odds of winning the US presidential election What would election betting odds be without some celebrity long-shots? For one, Kanye West emerged as a massive underdog candidate in the last election. The former WWE champion and current action movie star has shown interest in politics and even stated in a Vanity Fair interview that he has done research into what that could entail.

The Republican party is favored to take the house and take more than 50 seats in the Senate.